Journal list menu
Are predators good for your health? Evaluating evidence for top-down regulation of zoonotic disease reservoirs
Richard S. Ostfeld
Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Box AB, 65 Sharon Turnpike, Millbrook, NY ( E-mail: [email protected] )
Search for more papers by this authorRobert D. Holt
Department of Zoology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
Search for more papers by this authorRichard S. Ostfeld
Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Box AB, 65 Sharon Turnpike, Millbrook, NY ( E-mail: [email protected] )
Search for more papers by this authorRobert D. Holt
Department of Zoology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
Search for more papers by this authorAbstract
Zoonotic diseases, caused by pathogens transmitted to people from vertebrate reservoirs, take an enormous toll on human health worldwide. Many of these disease agents are harbored in rodent populations, and humans are victims of “accidental” transmission. Here we explore the idea that predatory vertebrates indirectly protect human health by reducing population size of rodent reservoirs of human disease. Research frontiers include the importance of rodent population density to the incidence of human disease, as opposed to behavior or age structure effects; the roles of different types of predators in determining both population dynamics and rodent density per se; and the effects of human-caused environmental change on predators and their rodent prey. A better understanding of these basic ecological issues will inform both environmental and health policy.
References
- Begon, M., S. Hazel, and D. Baxby . 1999. Transmission dynamics of a zoonotic pathogen within and between wildlife host species. Proc R Soc Lond Ser B 266: 1939–45.
- Brown, JH, and SKM Ernest . 2002. Rain and rodents: complex dynamics of desert consumers. BioScience 52: 979–87.
- Brummer-Korvenkontio, M., O. Vapalahti, and H. Henttonen . 1999. Epidemiological study of nephropathia epidemica in Finland 1989–96. Scand J Infect Dis 31: 427–35.
- Childs, JE . 1986. Size-dependent predation on rats (Rattus norvegicus) by house cats (Felis catus) in an urban setting. J Mammol 67: 196–99.
- Childs, JE, GW Korch, and GE Glass . 1987. Epizootiology of hantavirus infectinos in Baltimore: isolation of a virus from Norway rats, and characteristics of infected rat populations. Am J Epidemiol 126: 55–68.
- Childs, JE, JW Krebs, and TG Ksiazek . 1995. A household-based, case-control study of environmental factors associated with hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in the southwestern United States. Am J Trop Med Hyg 52: 393–97.
- Crooks, KR, and ME Soule . 1999. Mesopredator release and avifaunal extinctions in a fragmented system. Nature 400: 563–66.
- Crooks, KR . 2002. Relative sensitivities of mammalian carnivores to habitat fragmentation. Conserv Biol 16: 488–502.
- Desy, EA, and GO Batzli . 1989. Effects of food availability and predation on prairie vole demography – a field experiment. Ecology 70: 411–21.
- Dobson, AP, and PJ Hudson . 1992. Regulation and stability of a free-living host–parasite system Trichostrongylus tenuis in red grouse. II. Population models. J Anim Ecol 61: 487–500.
- Dyczkowski, J., and DW Yalden . 1998. An estimate of the impact of predators on the British field vole Microtus agrestis population. Mammal Rev 28: 165–84.
- Elton, C. 1942. Voles, mice and lemmings: problems in population dynamics. Oxford, UK: Clarendon.
- Epstein, PR . 2000. Is global warming harmful to health?. Sci Am 283: 50–57.
- Escutenaire, S., I. Thomas, and J. Clément . 1997. Epidémiologie de l’hantavirose chez le campagnol roussâtre (Clethrionomys glareolus). Ann Méd Vét 141: 471–76.
- Estes, JA, MT Tinker, TM Williams, and DF Doak . 1998. Killer whale predation on sea otters linking oceanic and nearshore ecosystems. Science 282: 473–76.
- Glass, GE, JE Cheek, and JA Patz . 2000. Using remotely sensed data to identify areas at risk for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome. Emerg Infect Dis 6: 238–47.
- Glass, GE, JE Childs, GW Korch, and JW LeDuc . 1988. Association of intraspecific wounding with hantaviral infection in wild rats (Rattus norvegicus). Epidemiol Infect 101: 459–72.
- Hanski, I., P. Turchin, E. Korpimäki, and H. Henttonen . 1993. Population oscillations of boreal rodents – regulation by mustelid predators leads to chaos. Nature 364: 232–35.
- Hanski, I., H. Henttonen, and E. Korpimäki . 2001. Small rodent dynamics and predation. Ecology 82: 1505–20.
- Hansson, L., and H. Henttonen . 1988. Rodent dynamics as community processes. Trends Ecol Evol 3: 195–200.
- Holt, RD, and ME Hochberg . 2002. Virulence on the edge: a source–sink perspective. In: Dieckmann U, Metz JAJ, Sabelis MW, and Sigmund K (Eds). Adaptive dynamics of infectious diseases (Cambridge studies in adaptive dynamics). Cambridge, UK: United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press. p 104–23.
- Keeling, M., and CA Gilligan . 2000. Metapopluation dynamics of bubonic plague. Nature 407: 903–06.
- Kjellander, P., and J. Nordström . 2003. Cyclic voles, prey switching in red fox, and roe deer dynamics – a test of the alternative prey hypothesis. Oikos 101: 338–44.
- Klemola, T., M. Tanhuanpaa, E. Korpimäki, and K. Ruohomaki . 2002. Specialist and generalist natural enemies as an explanation for geographical gradients in population cycles of northern herbivores. Oikos 99: 83–94.
- Korpimäki, E., K. Norrdahl, and T. Klemola . 2002. Dynamic effects of predators on cyclic voles: field experimentation and model extrapolation. Proc Roy Soc London Ser B Biol Sci 269: 991–97.
- Kuenzi, AJ, RJ Douglass, and D. White . 2001. Antibody to sin nombre virus in rodents associated with peridomestic habitats in west central Montana. Am J Trop Med Hyg 64: 137–46.
- Leirs, H., NC Stenseth, and JD Nichols . 1997. Stochastic seasonality and nonlinear density–dependent factors regulate population size in an African rodent. Nature 389: 176–80.
- Likens, GE . 1991. Human-accelerated environmental change. BioScience 41: 130.
- Mills, JN, and JE Childs . 1998. Ecologic studies of rodent reservoirs: their relevance for human health. Emerg Infect Dis 4: 529–37.
- Mills, JN, BA Ellis, and KT McKee . 1992. A longitudinal study of Junín virus activity in the rodent reservoir of Argentine hemorrhagic fever. Am J Trop Med Hyg 47: 749–63.
- Mills, JN, TG Ksiazek, CJ Peters, and JE Childs . 1999. Long-term studies of hantavirus reservoir populations in the southwestern United States: a synthesis. Emerg Infect Dis 5: 135–42.
- Niklasson, B., B. Hornfeldt, and A. Lundkvist . 1995. Temporal dynamics of Puumala virus antibody prevalence in voles and of nephropathia epidemica incidence in humans. Am J Trop Med Hyg 53: 134–40.
- Ostfeld, RS . 1997. The ecology of Lyme disease risk. Am Sci 85: 338–46.
- Ostfeld, RS, CG Jones, and JO Wolff . 1996. Of mice and mast: ecological connections in eastern deciduous forests. BioScience 46: 323–30.
- Ostfeld, RS, EM Schauber, and CD Canham . 2001. Effects of acorn production and mouse abundance on abundance and Borrelia burgdorferi infection prevalence of nymphal Ixodes scapularis. Vectorborne Zoon Dis 1: 55–64.
- Pace, ML, JJ Cole, and SR Carpenter . 1999. Trophic cascades revealed in diverse ecosystems. Trends Ecol Evol 14: 483–88.
- Packer, C., RD Holt, and PJ Hudson . 2003. Keeping the herds healthy and alert: implications of predator control for infectious disease. Ecol Let 6: 797–802.
- Plyusnin, A., O. Vapalahti, and H. Lankinen . 1994. Tula virus – a newly detected hantavirus carried by European common voles. J Virol 68: 7833–39.
-
Polis, GA,
CA Myers, and
RD Holt
.
1989.
The ecology and evolution of intraguild predation: potential competitors that eat each other.
Ann Rev Ecol Syst
20:
297–330.
10.1146/annurev.es.20.110189.001501 Google Scholar
- Rosenblatt, DL, EJ Heske, and SL Nelson . 1999. Forest fragments in east-central Illinois: islands or habitat patches for mammals?. Am Midl Nat 141: 115–23.
- Selas, V., E. Framstad, and TK Spidso . 2002. Effects of seed masting of bilberry, oak and spruce on sympatric populations of bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus) and wood mouse (Apodemus sylvaticus) in southern Norway. J Zool 258: 459–68.
- Sundell, J. 2003. Population dynamics of microtine rodents: an experimental test of the predation hypothesis. Oikos 101: 416–27.
- Taylor, LH, SM Latham, and MEJ Woolhouse . 2001. Risk factors for human disease emergence. Phil Trans Roy Soc Lond Ser B Biol Sci 356: 983–89.
- Terborgh, J., L. Lopez, and PV Nunñez . 2001. Ecological meltdown in predator-free forest fragments. Science 294: 1923–26.
- Turner, IM . 1996. Species loss in fragments of tropical rain forest: a review of the evidence. J Appl Ecol 33: 200–09.
- Voss, JG, E. Dybing, and HA Greim . 2000. Health effects of endocrine-disrupting chemicals on wildlife, with special reference to the European situation. Crit Rev Toxicol 30: 71–133.
- Williams, ES, ET Thorne, MJG Appel, and DW Belitsky . 1988. Canine distemper in black-footed ferrets (Mustela nigripes) from Wyoming. J Wildlife Dis 24: 385–98.
- Wilson, ML . 1998. Distribution and abundance of Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) in North America: ecological processes and spatial analysis. J Med Entomol 35: 446–57.
- Yahnke, C., P. Meserve, TG Ksiazek, and JN Mills . 2001. Patterns of infection with Laguna Negra virus in wild populations of Calomys laucha in the central Paraguayan chaco. Am J Trop Med Hyg 65: 768–76.
- Yates, TL, JN Mills, and CA Parmenter . 2002. The ecology and evolutionary history of an emergent disease: hantavirus pulmonary syndrome. BioScience 52: 989–98.